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Table 1 – Intraductal carcinoma (IDC), cribriform architecture (CA), and percentage of genome alteration (PGA) are prognostic for biochemical relapse in the Canadian intermediate-risk and

MSKCC cohorts

Univariable (

N

= 531, events = 142)

Multivariable (clinical + IDC/CA;

N

= 531,events = 142);Harrell’s C-

index = 0.642 (95% CI = 0.534–0.75)

Multivariable (clinical + IDC/CA + PGA;

N

= 215,events = 98);Harrell’s C-

index = 0.652 (95% CI = 0.547–0.758)

Canadian intermediate-risk cohort

HR (95% CI)

p

value

HR (95% CI)

p

value

HR (95% CI)

p

value

Age (continuous)

1.01 (0.98–1.04)

0.51

[3_TD$DIFF]

cT

[1_TD$DIFF]

category

cT2b/c vs cT1/T2a (ref.)

1.57 (1.08–2.29)

0.018

1.36 (0.93–1.99)

0.11

1.32 (0.83–2.1)

0.23

GS

7 vs 6 (ref.)

0.97 (0.56–1.71)

0.93

ISUP grade

2 vs 1 (ref.)

0.9 (0.51–1.6)

0.73

3 vs 1

1.17 (0.63–2.17)

0.62

PSA (continuous)

1.05 (1.01–1.10)

0.019

1.06 (1.01–1.1)

0.013

1.07 (1.02–1.13)

0.011

IDC/CA

Present vs absent

2.17 (1.54–3.06)

<

0.001

2.17 (1.53–3.07)

<

0.001

1.98 (1.29–3.04)

0.0017

PGA (continuous)

1.03 (1.01–1.06)

0.0072

1.03 (1–1.05)

0.05

Univariable (

N

= 258,events = 71)

Multivariable (clinical + IDC/CA;

N

= 234,events = 65);Harrell’s C-

index = 0.739 (95% CI = 0.638–0.839)

Multivariable (clinical + IDC/CA + PGA;

N

= 234, events = 65);Harrell’s C-

index = 0.745 (95% CI = 0.644–0.845)

MSKCC cohort

HR (95% CI)

p

value

HR (95% CI)

p

value

HR (95% CI)

p

value

Age (continuous)

1.03 (1–1.07)

0.075

[3_TD$DIFF]

cT

[1_TD$DIFF]

category

cT2b/c vs cT1/T2a (ref.)

1.23 (0.71–2.14)

0.46

1.08 (0.59–1.98)

0.81

1.12 (0.61–2.07)

0.71

cT3 vs cT1/2a (ref.)

4.92 (2.3–10.54)

<

0.001

3.18 (1.39–7.24)

0.0059

3.33 (1.46–7.61)

0.0043

GS

7 vs 6 (ref.)

2.58 (1.49–4.48)

<

0.001

8/9 vs 6 (ref.)

5.07 (2.66–9.65)

<

0.001

ISUP grade

2 vs 1 (ref.)

1.92 (1.03–3.58)

0.04

1.52 (0.77–2.97)

0.23

1.54 (0.79–3.01)

0.21

3 vs 1

5.0 (2.52–9.94)

<

0.001

3.54 (1.61–7.78)

0.0017

3.41 (1.55–7.51)

0.0023

4/5 vs 1

5.12 (2.69–9.76)

<

0.001

2.99 (1.43–6.27)

0.0036

2.7 (1.26–5.8)

0.011

PSA (continuous)

1.01 (1–1.01)

<

0.001

1 (1–1.01)

0.013

1 (1–1.01)

0.012

IDC/CA

Present vs absent

3.11 (1.83–5.3)

<

0.001

2.32 (1.32–4.08)

0.0035

1.86 (0.97–3.56)

0.063

PGA (continuous)

1.07 (1.04–1.1)

<

0.001

1.03 (0.99–1.07)

0.15

CI = confidence interval; GS = Gleason score; HR = hazards ratio; ISUP = International Society of Urological Pathology grading system for prostate cancer based on GS; MSKCC = Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center;

PSA = prostate-specific antigen; ref. = reference.

Harrell’s C-indices for the multivariable clinical only model were 0.582 (95% CI = 0.474–0.69) in the Canadian cohort, and 0.715 (95% CI = 0.615–0.815) in the MSKCC cohort.

E U R O P E A N U R O L O G Y 7 2 ( 2 0 1 7 ) 6 6 5 – 6 7 4

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