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translated into a number needed to treat (NNT) to prevent a

recurrence at 10-yr follow-up of 5. However, no differences

were observed in the rate of metastasis-free survival and

cancer-specific mortality. The Southwest Oncology Group

(SWOG) 8794 trial included 450 patients with pT3N0 PCa

randomized to RT within 16 wk of surgery or initial

observation

[8]

. At a median follow-up of 152 mo, the

10-year metastasis-free and overall survival rates were

significantly lower for patients treated with immediate RT

compared with observation (71% vs 61% and 74% vs 66%,

respectively). This translated into a NNT to prevent the

development of metastases in one case of 10. Similarly,

13 patients needed to be treated with immediate RT to

prevent one death. Although the results of these two trials

advocate aRT, approximately one-third of men in the

immediate RT group received RT in a salvage setting due

to detectable PSA levels immediately after surgery. These

individuals have worse metastases-free and overall survival

rates compared with their counterparts with complete

biochemical response

[84] .

This issue was partially over-

come by the intention-to-treat analysis of the ARO 96–02

trial, which focused exclusively on patients with a PSA

<

0.5 ng/ml after RP

[7] .

Overall, 307 men with pT3N0

disease at RP were randomized to aRT or observation. At a

median follow-up of 110 mo, individuals in the aRT group

had a 20% higher probability of being free from progression

compared with those in the observation arm (NNT: 5).

These findings support the role of immediate postoperative

RT in improving BCR-free survival in men with aggressive

disease characteristics, where approximately five patients

would need to receive immediate RT to prevent one

recurrence at 10-yr follow-up. Although only one study

demonstrated an effect of immediate RT after surgery on

stronger oncologic endpoints at long-term follow-up

[8]

, a

meta-analysis of these prospective randomized trials

demonstrated improved overall survival and reduced risk

of metastases

[85] .

Differences in selection criteria, a lack of

systematic pathological quality assurance, heterogeneity in

radiation technique and dose, as well as the effectiveness of

salvage treatment are among the commonly proposed

explanations for the discrepancies between these studies

[6–8,86] .

3.5.

How can we identify patients who would benefit from aRT?

Up to 40% of patients eligible for immediate RT according to

the inclusion criteria of randomized trials would not

experience BCR at 10-yr follow-up and may not thus

require additional cancer treatments

[6,7]

. In a subset of

these individuals, the administration of aRT might repre-

sent

overtreatment

and be associated with patient inconve-

nience, expense, and a risk of short- and long-term side

effects ranging from 15% to 35% and 2% to 8%, respectively

[6–8,85,87,88]

. Efforts have been made to improve our

ability to identify patients who would benefit from aRT and

thereby reduce the risk of overtreatment. In the subset

analyses of their randomized controlled trial, Thompson

et al

[8]

demonstrated that the benefit of aRT in terms of

cancer-specific survival was greater in patients with higher-

grade disease. When considering 552 patients with

available pathologic review data included in the EORTC

trial 22911, the presence of positive surgical margins

represented the strongest predictor of BCR-free survival

after aRT

[34] .

Therefore, aRT should be considered

particularly in men with positive margins at RP. Of note,

positive margins were an important predictor of recurrence

after pathologic review also in the ARO 96-02 trial

[37]

. Abdollah et al

[31]

evaluated a cohort of more than

1000 patients treated with RP aRT and suggested a benefit

[(Fig._2)TD$FIG]

Fig. 2 – Risk of bias for randomized controlled trials included in the

systematic review (

n

= 6). Green indicates low risk, red indicates high

risk, and yellow indicates unclear.

E U R O P E A N U R O L O G Y 7 2 ( 2 0 1 7 ) 6 8 9 – 7 0 9

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