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for each contributing dataset assuming a log-additive (trend) for the

effect of the telomere length-associated variants on RCC risk. Covariate

adjustment differed by dataset and are as follows: 19 signi

fi

cant

eigenvectors for IARC, age, and two signi

fi

cant eigenvectors for MD

Anderson Cancer Center, study indicator variables for NCI1, sex, and

three signi

fi

cant eigenvectors for NCI2, and no covariate adjustment for

the UK study. RCC association results for telomere length-associated

variants fromeach dataset were combined bymeta-analysis using a

fi

xed

effects model. Cochran

s Q tests for heterogeneity were conducted to

identify a lack of consistency across studies.

A GRS was calculated for the nine telomere length-associated

variants as follows:

GRS

i

¼

X

9

j

¼

1

w

j

x

ij

where GRS

i

is the risk score for individual

i

,

x

ij

is the number of telomere

length increasing alleles for the

j

th telomere length associated variant

and

w

j

is the weight or effect coef

fi

cient for each telomere length

associated variant. A higher GRS value for an individual indicates

longer genetically inferred telomere length. Previously published

telomere length associated effect estimates (

b

values) scaled to

estimated kilobases of telomere length per length increasing allele

were used for

w

j

[22 24]

. GRS association tests were conducted

separately for each contributing study using the same covariates as

the single SNP association tests previously described. Results from

each study were merged by

fi

xed effects meta-analysis and hetero-

geneity tests were conducted to detect potential departures from

homogeneity. Additionally, subanalyses by RCC subtype as well as

analyses strati

fi

ed by sex, body mass index, history of hypertension,

and smoking status were conducted to comprehensively assess the

relationship between telomere length-associated variants and RCC

risk.

In addition to the GRS analysis, summary statistics from the nine

telomere length-associated variants were also combined in analyses using

an inverse variance weighting method and a likelihood-based method

[26] .

Both methods use average summary association estimates for the

telomere length-associated variants with RCC risk to estimate the overall

effect of telomere length on RCC risk. These methods produce similar

estimates and precision as individual-level data, but have the advantage of

using effect statistics from different studies. An online web tool by

Burgess et al

[26]

accessed at

https://sb452.shinyapps.io/summarized/

on

February 10, 2017 was used to calculate the inverse variance and

likelihood-based estimates. Tests of heterogeneity were performed to

assess if a telomere length associated variant

s effect on RCC is

proportional to its effect on telomere length. Additionally, MR-Egger

regression models were

fi

t to evaluate the potential for pleiotropic effects

of variants

[27]

.

Unless otherwise stated, statistical analyses and plotting

were performed on a 64-bit build of R version 3.3.0

Supposedly

Educational

. Meta-analyses were performed using the R package

metafor

and Egger regression

[27]

was performed using the R package

MendelianRandomization

. All statistical tests were two-sided with

p

values less than 0.05 considered signi

fi

cant.

3.

Results

Associations between the telomere length-associated var-

iants and RCC risk are reported in

Table 1

and Supplemen-

tary Figure 1. Of the nine telomere length-associated

variants, five variants (rs10936599, rs2736100, rs9420907,

rs8105767, and rs6772228) displayed evidence for an

individual association with RCC risk (

p

<

0.05) and three

(rs10936599, rs2736100, rs9420907) were associated at

Bonferroni corrected levels (

p

<

0.006). This is substantially

more than the number of telomere length variants

associated with RCC risk that would be expected by chance

(exact binomial

p

<

0.0001). For all the telomere length-

related variants associated with RCC, the allele related to

longer telomere length was associated with an increased

risk of RCC. There was no evidence for heterogeneity in

effect estimates across studies.

We observed a highly statistically significant association

between the telomere length GRS and RCC risk (odds ratio

[OR] = 2.07 per predicted kilobase increase, 95% confidence

interval [CI] = 1.70

2.53,

p

<

0.0001;

Fig. 1

), indicating

longer genetically inferred telomere length is associated

with increased RCC risk. In an analysis of GRS deciles, a

generally monotonic trend across deciles was observed

( Fig. 2

). After removing two telomere length variants from

the GRS that were in linkage disequilibrium (LD) with RCC

susceptibility loci reported in the RCC GWAS (rs10936599 in

LD with rs10936602, and rs9420907 in LD with rs11813268;

R

2

0.59 and 0.76 in the CEU 1000 Genomes population,

Table 1

Associations of telomere length associated variants with renal cell carcinoma (RCC) risk

Nearby gene

Chr

Position

SNP

Telomere length association

Association with RCC risk

Allele

s a

Bet

a b

S

E b

Beta

SE

p

value

ACYP2

2

54329370

rs11125529

C/A

0.0669

0.0119

0.0143

0.0270

0.6

PXK

3

58376019

rs6772228

A/T

0.1200

0.0191

0.1198

0.0481

0.01

TERC

3

170974795

rs10936599

T/C

0.1173

0.0097

0.1001

0.0220

<

0.0001

NAF1

4

164227270

rs7675998

A/G

0.0897

0.0109

0.0133

0.0226

0.5

TERT

5

1339516

rs2736100

A/C

0.0942

0.0109

0.0678

0.0187

0.0003

OBFC1

10

105666455

rs9420907

A/C

0.0828

0.0120

0.1165

0.0264

<

0.0001

CTC1

17

8136092

rs3027234

T/C

0.0573

0.0110

0.0159

0.0228

0.5

ZNF208

19

22007281

rs8105767

A/G

0.0576

0.0096

0.0479

0.0207

0.02

RTEL1

20

61892066

rs755017

A/G

0.0741

0.0131

0.0117

0.0289

0.7

Chr = chromosome; SE = standard error; SNP = single nucleotide polymorphism.

a

Alleles are short allele/long allele. Short alleles are used as the reference in both the telomere length and RCC association models.

b

Beta and standard error estimates are from published association studies on leukocyte telomere length

[22 24]

.

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